Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 358.839208 406.794864 459.920789 523.337374 597.234307 680.930128 783.331160
2025-11-23 282.686797 344.314770 418.608825 515.545545 639.822117 795.338092 1007.097899
2025-11-30 244.993857 312.607913 398.756901 518.059241 681.341989 900.461228 1222.727055
2025-12-07 214.033513 283.192875 375.230360 508.897619 701.813582 976.094063 1406.587626
2025-12-14 192.257785 262.352019 359.174354 505.713898 727.311459 1059.039865 1611.393256
2025-12-21 170.037912 237.959664 334.699600 486.224050 724.533650 1097.305634 1750.589438
2025-12-28 161.364357 231.757082 335.241882 503.242592 778.646904 1230.164447 2066.654341
2026-01-04 154.598101 227.459397 337.789772 523.063620 839.038397 1381.131360 2441.725210
2026-01-11 144.854781 217.548163 330.447257 525.653045 870.255515 1485.635686 2749.906541
2026-01-18 133.712802 204.379652 316.547488 515.460673 877.364997 1546.930500 2984.026134
2026-01-25 123.966125 192.589213 303.735946 505.555420 883.331763 1606.183712 3224.346926
2026-02-01 119.551411 189.107981 304.326180 519.154577 934.395407 1760.016630 3700.320422
2026-02-08 112.476953 180.790288 296.240055 516.686015 955.356933 1858.740456 4079.718918
2026-02-15 105.396260 171.932681 286.486647 510.131637 967.494558 1941.268268 4441.236790
2026-02-22 100.363509 166.205400 281.733405 512.484964 997.922781 2068.079375 4944.324311
2026-03-01 94.187553 157.983743 271.744726 503.452996 1002.952336 2137.989478 5314.340176
2026-03-08 89.356446 151.824664 265.052385 500.307437 1020.294570 2239.449861 5798.235811
2026-03-15 82.889662 142.241456 251.185669 481.060654 999.169976 2244.187593 6002.408075
2026-03-22 81.333652 141.631215 254.397594 497.867184 1062.904736 2472.136660 6949.904455
2026-03-29 80.142712 141.604209 258.707728 517.439781 1135.933006 2738.244498 8107.631843
2026-04-05 77.150881 137.917732 255.443729 519.996632 1167.832159 2899.428187 8965.032947
2026-04-12 73.070564 131.857318 246.936636 509.932321 1166.752729 2968.077606 9514.991996
2026-04-19 69.311239 126.204213 238.875733 500.151110 1165.230500 3035.504700 10084.540077